Exercise for Aspiring Predictors; Where is Mojtaba Khamenei?

Mojtaba Khamenei is the new Supreme Leader of Iran. Imagine that you have been tasked with a short essay on where he is most likely to be found. Artificially, your study cannot reference the vast targeting resources of the intelligence community. Consider:
  • Legitimacy of his selection.
  • Popular legitimacy.
  • Credentials.
  • Power base.
  • Who he needs to connect with now.
  • How he might seek to establish his legitimacy among those who question.
A logical answer is feasible, which may vary  based upon your individual logic.
Geography should receive mention.
Develop a contradictory, alternative argument, and choose between.
State a confidence level.