“When I think back to 2009, 2010, you guys will recall there was a big debate inside the White House about whether I should publicly affirm what was going on with the Green Movement, because a lot of the activists were being accused of being tools of the West and there was some thought that we were somehow gonna be undermining their street cred in Iran if I supported what they were doing,” Obama said. “And in retrospect, I think that was a mistake.”
President Obama, you have an overactive conscience, You were right in 2009. The state of Iran is held together by the theologically imbued perception of pressure from external enemies. Without, it would be ripe for revolution. With, it can withstand.
I’m putting together something on this. In the meantime, dust off your copy of Crane Brinton’s The Anatomy of Revolution. Pay particular attention to page 65 of the 1965 Vintage edition.
Iran is not now in a prodromal, pre-revolutionary state. That transition requires clearly recognizable steps.