The Personality of Kim Jong-un; Fencing; the Ungame, Part 2

The fence of almost-facts consists of four  negations and three assertions. A common element is a blur between fact, and what Kim is likely to consider as fact. Theories that implicitly predict successful negotiations assume that the end of North Korea’s nuclear program is required for these benefits to occur, which is false: Lifting or … Continue reading The Personality of Kim Jong-un; Fencing; the Ungame, Part 2

The Personality of Kim Jong-un; Fencing the Problem

Let’s drop the nuclear physics for a bit. People want know what makes Kim Jong-un tick. Theories abound, but no candidate has the quality that says, “this nails it.”  In the euphoric moment, political types tend to confuse fact and desire. But the intelligence community is not so easily beguiled. (Reuters) Understanding Kim: Inside the … Continue reading The Personality of Kim Jong-un; Fencing the Problem

Mattis: “North Korea ICBM Not a Threat Right Now” Part 1

The North Korea ICBM threat is not visceral. With two brief exceptions, nuclear conflict has never been felt, but only imagined. Because it remains the subject of nightmarish contemplation, open source offers a meaningful fraction of the material chomped on by DoD and the White House. There is enough that we can imagine ourselves “in … Continue reading Mattis: “North Korea ICBM Not a Threat Right Now” Part 1

Mattis: Yemen Humanitarian to Worsen with Death of Saleh

Reuters: Yemen humanitarian situation likely to worsen with Saleh death: Mattis. Quoting, (But)one thing I think I can say with a lot of concern and probably likelihood is that the situation for the innocent people there, the humanitarian side, is most likely to (get) worse in the short term,” Mattis said. He did not explain … Continue reading Mattis: Yemen Humanitarian to Worsen with Death of Saleh