(Yahoo) Ukraine says Russia plans to simulate accident at nuclear power plant. Quoting, (Reuters) – Ukraine’s defence ministry on Friday said Russia was planning to simulate a major accident at a nuclear power station controlled by pro-Moscow forces to try to thwart a long-planned Ukrainian counteroffensive to retake territory occupied by Russia. This is anticipated … Continue reading (Reuters) Ukraine says Russia plans to simulate accident at nuclear power plant →

We continue from Ukraine: Nerve Agent Civil Defense Part 1. Nota bene: This is not medical advice. It is an attempt to make accessible a few papers that are somewhat speculative, so that policymakers can ask intelligent questions of their CW defense establishments, (UK) Defence Science and Technology Laboratory and (U.S.) Edgewood Chemical Biological Center.  … Continue reading Ukraine: Nerve Agent Civil Defense Part 2 →

(CNN) Biden and UK to help Australia acquire nuclear-powered submarines in new pushback on China, and America’s deal with UK and Australia leaves France bruised and Europe in the cold on China. The defense of Australia is difficult. To understand why, consult the map. The Nine Dotted Line dips south to the north shore of … Continue reading Defending Australia; Nuclear Submarines & French Anger →

(CNN) Vaccinated Americans allowed to taste freedom. The article also contains an interview with Dr. Wen, who thinks CDC should have loosened more. In the past 12 hours, (Nature) Antibody Resistance of SARS-CoV-2 Variants B.1.351 and B.1.1.7 has brought The Outer Limits to your browser. It becomes suddenly urgent to do another napkin calculation.  A … Continue reading (CNN) Vaccinated Americans allowed to taste freedom; Not So Fast; Napkin Calculation #2 →

(Reuters) Satellite images show madrasa buildings still standing at scene of Indian bombing. It sounds like India had faulty intelligence, targeting, and execution. The bombs missed their target, which might have been a good thing. Although the madrassa is run by  (Aljazeera) terror group Jaish-e-Mohammad, childhood is still an age of innocence. The buildings are … Continue reading India’s Failed Pakistan Air Raid; the Siliguri Corridor →

This blog tries to avoid politics. The SOTU makes a technical reference to the proposed wall, so we comment. Quoting from Feasibility of the Southern Border Wall? A smart wall is simply an extension of battlefield technology. The modern battlefield is alive with sensors, enabling rapid, accurate response. While military use centers on lethal force, … Continue reading State of the Union, Smart Wall →

This is not about whether a wall is desirable. That is a political question, to be solved by the political process. Democracy is well suited to maintaining an equitable and stable social order. As questionable  as the recent record  of American government has been, democracy still has a strong association with maximum realization of human … Continue reading Feasibility of the Southern Border Wall? →

So far, we have: The tendency of pundits towards circular reasoning, imposing a personality on the problem when the problem is the personality. A  specific facet of personality. The uncertainty created by the above. A factual fence constructed from the external world, consisting of limitations on how much and how fast an organization can change. … Continue reading Kim Fires 3 Top Military Officers, Part 3 →

When the quality of information is poor, try to shrink the space in which you have to search for the estimate. It’s like knowing you lost your keys somewhere in your house. This  technique, “fencing the problem”, was introduced in Russian Casualties estimate; a technique note. It receives further application  in these articles. The fence … Continue reading Kim Fires 3 Top Military Officers, Part2 →

The fence of almost-facts consists of four  negations and three assertions. A common element is a blur between fact, and what Kim is likely to consider as fact. Theories that implicitly predict successful negotiations assume that the end of North Korea’s nuclear program is required for these benefits to occur, which is false: Lifting or … Continue reading The Personality of Kim Jong-un; Fencing; the Ungame, Part 2 →